Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Event Definition This market resolves to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes an official or widely reported visit to China at any point between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025 (UTC). Otherwise, the market resolves to "No". Criteria for a Valid Visit The visit must be physical and in-person, where Donald Trump travels to China’s internationally recognized territory. The visit must be official or public, reported by at least two reputable global news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, Associated Press, BBC, CNN, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, etc.). Private travel, stopovers, or unconfirmed reports will not count. Resolution Source The primary resolution sources are official statements from: The Government of China (via Ministry of Foreign Affairs), Donald Trump’s official office/representatives, or Major, reputable global media outlets. If there is any conflict in reporting, the event creator reserves the right to rely on the majority consensus of credible sources. Ambiguities If Trump announces but does not complete the visit before December 31, 2025 (UTC), the market resolves "No". If the visit occurs in Hong Kong, Macau, or Taiwan, it will not count as a visit to China for this market. If Trump enters Chinese territory without an official/public acknowledgment and it cannot be verified by reliable sources, the market resolves "No". Final Resolution The market will be resolved within 72 hours of clear confirmation that Trump has (or has not) visited China in 2025.