Will the US and China sign a trade deal before September?

This market resolves to YES if an official trade agreement is signed by both the United States and China and publicly announced by a credible government or international source (e.g., White House, USTR, China’s Ministry of Commerce, or major global media outlets such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or AP) on or before August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The agreement must be new, not a mere renewal or continuation of an existing deal, and must pertain specifically to bilateral trade relations, including tariffs, imports/exports, or related economic terms. If no such deal is signed and publicly announced by the deadline, the market resolves to NO.